72nd Economic Policy Panel

The October 2020 Economic Policy Panel Meeting, was due to take place in Berlin at the Federal Ministry of Finance, Germany, but instead was held online. One big theme for the conference was the economics of climate change – a forthcoming special issue guest edited by John Hassler and Per Krusell – but there were also new studies of the sustainability of public debt, house prices, gun laws and European banks’ provisioning against non-performing loans.
[view the full programme]

Fiscal standards for Europe
Olivier Blanchard, Alvaro Leandro, Jeromin Zettelmeyer

Exporting pollution
Itzhak Ben-David, Yeejin Jang, Stefanie Kleimeier, Michael Viehs

Rising UK house prices
David Miles, Victoria Monro

The policy panel on “Fiscal Standards for Europe” took place on Thursday 22 October, click below to watch the full event recording.

Policy Panel

Olivier Blanchard

Olivier Blanchard

Peterson Institute for International Economics

Author

Davide Debortoli

Davide Debortoli

Universitat Pompeu Fabra

Discussant

Beatrice Weder di Mauro

Beatrice Weder di Mauro

CEPR, The Graduate Institute, Geneva, and INSEAD

Panelist

Michael McMahon

Michael McMahon

University of Oxford

Discussant

Jakob von Weizsäcker

Jakob von Weizsäcker

Federal Ministry of Finance, Germany

Panelist

The European Union should abandon the fiscal rules intended to put constraints on national budgetary policies in favour of fiscal standards – qualitative prescriptions that leave room for judgment together with a process to decide whether the standards are met.

That is the central conclusion of a new research report by Olivier Blanchard (Peterson Institute), Alvaro Leandro (CaixaBank Research) and Jeromin Zettelmeyer (International Monetary Fund). The authors note that their proposals would mark a major departure from the status quo, requiring Treaty change.

Multinational firms headquartered in countries with strict environmental policies choose to conduct their polluting activities in foreign countries with relatively weaker policies. These effects are stronger for firms in pollution-intensive industries and firms with poor corporate governance. But while firms based in countries with strict policies are more likely to export pollution abroad, they nevertheless produce fewer overall carbon emissions globally.

These are among the findings of a new research report by Itzhak Ben-David (Ohio State University, Stefanie Kleimeier (Maastricht University) and Michael Viehs (University of Oxford). Their results highlight the importance of collective action to combat climate change given the global scale of many firms’ operations.

The big rise in UK house prices relative to incomes between 1985 and 2018 can be more than accounted for by the substantial decline in real risk-free interest rates over the period. This is slightly offset by net increases in home-ownership costs from higher rates of tax.

These are the findings of a new research report by David Miles of Imperial College London and Victoria Monro of the Bank of England. Their analysis predicts that a 1% sustained increase in index-linked gilt yields from current rates could ultimately result in a fall in real house prices of around 20%.

Other new studies on the agenda at the October 2020 Economic Policy Panel Meeting focus on:

sergio-souza

Authors

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